INDIANAPOLIS, Oct. 12, 2010
GOP Angles for Early Coup in Bellwether Indiana
Republicans Hope to Regain House Seats Early in Conservative State, then Replicate Results Elsewhere
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In this Sept. 6, 2010, file photo supporters of Republican candidate, state Rep. Jackie Walorski, march during the Blueberry Festival Parade in Plymouth, Ind. (AP Photo)
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Now a resurgent Republican Party wants to rerun the same script with a distinctly different ending, aiming to recapture dozens of seats it lost in 2006 and 2008 and putting junior Democrats under political duress from New Hampshire to New Mexico.
And Indiana, where unemployment is measured at 10.2 percent and newspapers run page after dreary page of home foreclosure notices, could again be an early indicator. Republicans appear to be on their way to reclaiming one of the three seats they lost in 2006 and are mounting a strong challenge for a second.
They entertain hopes of taking back the third, as well, although their candidate, state lawmaker Jackie Walorski, is conservative enough to accuse the National Rifle Association of being irresolute.
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"The economy hasn't gotten better. A lot of things haven't changed in Indiana, and I think that may be what's driving some of these elections," said Chris Chocola, a former congressman who lost his seat in 2006 and now heads the conservative Club for Growth in Washington. "If anything, things have gotten worse ... so I think there's a little buyer's remorse."
Counting the Indiana seats held by Reps. Joe Donnelly, Baron Hill and Brad Ellsworth, who is now running for the Senate, Democrats took 55 districts away from the Republicans in 2006 and 2008 as they built their majority and then strengthened it. Some of them are all but certain to fall to Republicans this fall, and the millions of dollars in campaign advertising now pouring into many of the rest are evidence of renewed political significance.
A majority of the 55 stretch across the nation's northern tier, from New Hampshire to Michigan. More than one-quarter are in New York (6) Pennsylvania (5) and Ohio (4). There also are four in Florida and three each in Arizona and Virginia.
The political particulars vary, but the overall drift is the same as in Indiana Democrats under pressure.
In Alabama, Rep. Bobby Bright, seeking separation from his party, announced recently he won't vote to re-elect Nancy Pelosi as House speaker if he earns a new term to the seat he won in 2008.
In Ohio, Democrats concede privately they are likely to lose the seats that Reps. Steve Driehaus and Mary Jo Kilroy won in 2008. Both parties are advertising heavily in districts where Rep. Zach Space is seeking a third term and Rep. John Boccieri a second.
Both parties also are investing in a pair of Arizona races, one involving Rep. Harry Mitchell, first elected in 2006, the other where Rep. Ann Kirkpatrick is running for re-election for the seat she first won in 2008.
In Indiana, Republican ambitions run well beyond House seats.
Ellsworth trails former Sen. Dan Coats in opinion polls in their race for a Senate seat.
Republicans, who control the state Senate, hope to pick up the three seats needed for a majority in the Indiana House as well. If successful, they would control reapportionment of the state's congressional districts in 2011 and strengthen their political position for a decade to come.
Democrats are guilty of "extremism of national policy in the last year or two. People here have really recoiled from it," Republican Gov. Mitch Daniels said in an interview. He cited as examples economic stimulus legislation that passed Congress in 2009, this year's health care bill and an energy measure that cleared the House last year.
The seat Ellsworth is vacating in the southwestern part of the state is widely viewed as a lost cause for the Democrats. Their candidate, state Rep. Trent Van Haaften, is up against Republican Larry Bucshon, a cardiac surgeon making his first run for office.
In an adjacent district, Republican Todd Young opposes Democratic Rep. Baron Hill in an area that is so politically divided that the incumbent won the seat, lost it and won it back, all since 1998. Polls make it a close race, and both parties are advertising on television.
The outcome of Walorski's challenge to Donnelly in north-central Indiana may help define the limits of any Republican election-year wave.
Donnelly, a two-term Democrat, is campaigning as an independent lawmaker who opposed one of Obama's signature bills and advertises against it as "Nancy Pelosi's energy tax on Hoosier families."
Like Democrats elsewhere, he assails his rival as extreme.
But the National Republican Congressional Committee cast him as anything but independent in a television ad that began shortly after Labor Day. It said Donnelly voted with Pelosi 88 percent of the time, and supported a "Wall Street bailout," the economic stimulus measure and health care legislation.
Donnelly declined numerous requests for an interview.
Walorski, a 47-year-old state lawmaker, has unquestioned conservative credentials, Sarah Palin's endorsement and seemingly boundless energy. In one recent evening, she appeared at a dinner held by anti-abortion activists, at a Baptist Church where the audience cheered the idea that they could displace Pelosi, and then the Elkhart Rifle and Pistol Club
There, she said she wants to defund the health care bill, impose term limits on lawmakers and put a freeze on federal spending with "no tax increases, no exceptions."
She speaks rapidly, and her targets include the Obama administration, Pelosi, Donnelly and the National Rifle Association. "I co-authored the lifetime handgun permit, which I hope everyone has in their pocket. I have one in my pocket," she said, adding that the NRA refused to help pass the measure in the Legislature.
Local unemployment is about 13 percent, and when she says the economy is "going to hell in a handbasket," Jon Witmer, breaks in from the audience: "I think the handle's broke off that handbasket."
As the men in the audience walk to their cars afterward, they offer praise.
"Jackie's the real deal. She tells you what she's thinking" said Blake Doriot, a resident of nearby Syracuse.
In Indiana, as elsewhere, Democrats won't concede publicly that any seats are lost. But the changed atmosphere is evident.
Four years ago, in mid-October, then-Rep. Rahm Emanuel visited Indianapolis as chairman of the House campaign committee to generate support for Donnelly, Hill and Ellsworth.
Nothing similar is scheduled for this fall. Vice President Joe Biden plans a fundraiser on Thursday for Ellsworth. But in a year when many Indiana Democrats want to minimize ties to their party, it will be held hundreds of miles away, in Washington, D.C.
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A Relentless Enemy
- How is any Democrat able to defend a rise in the Unemployment Rate for Indiana from 5.8% to 10.2% since the Democrats took over, and in just 2 years!? That represents a 4.4% increase, which translates to 43%!
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- The economy began its nose dive when Democrats took control of Congress in January 2007. For the first four quarters of the newly Democratic Congress -- the four quarters of 2007 -- the annualized GDP growth rates were, in order, 1.2 percent, 3.2 percent, 3.6 percent and 2.1 percent. Each quarter showed positive growth, and the average for those four quarterly figures was 2.5 percent -- not much lower than the average growth during the previous 54 months....Officially, the recession started in December 2007. In the first quarter of 2008, GDP fell by seven-tenths of 1 percent. It rebounded briefly to 1.5 percent growth in the second quarter of 2008, then got really rocky in the third quarter of 2008. During that quarter and the following two, GDP fell by 2.7 percent, 5.4 percent and 6.4 percent, respectively. If you date the "nose dive" to the first quarter of 2008 -- the earliest quarter with negative growth -- that was a full year after the Democratic takeover.
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- The country was on the verge of tanking in 2007. Marshall law was threatened in Congress by the Bush administration if TARP was not passed. I guess you forgot about the tax rebate checks bushco was giving people just to patch the economy along. The democrats have done it right. They just haven't gone far enough. A friend of mine worked in a mortgage lending firm. He was told to loan the money regardless if people could afford it or not. Now we know why. Hedge funds and derivatives. They knew exactly which loans were bad. All they had to do is print the winning lottery tickets, (Hedge fund or derivative) for the payoff. The bet was so big there wasn't enough money in circulation to cover it. That's why the FED started printing. Hopefully people will not be ignorant enough to vote republican. It's like rewarding a rapist.
- Interesting choice of words for a headline. The APs biases are obvious.
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- Hopefully people will not be ignorant enough to put republicans back in control. It would be like rewarding a rapist.
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- rigthbehind ia a good name for you. You need to catch up with the facts.======= The economy began its nose dive when Democrats took control of Congress in January 2007. For the first four quarters of the newly Democratic Congress -- the four quarters of 2007 -- the annualized GDP growth rates were, in order, 1.2 percent, 3.2 percent, 3.6 percent and 2.1 percent. Each quarter showed positive growth, and the average for those four quarterly figures was 2.5 percent -- not much lower than the average growth during the previous 54 months....Officially, the recession started in December 2007. In the first quarter of 2008, GDP fell by seven-tenths of 1 percent. It rebounded briefly to 1.5 percent growth in the second quarter of 2008, then got really rocky in the third quarter of 2008. During that quarter and the following two, GDP fell by 2.7 percent, 5.4 percent and 6.4 percent, respectively. If you date the "nose dive" to the first quarter of 2008 -- the earliest quarter with negative growth -- that was a full year after the Democratic takeover.
- If Congress the Obama regime allows Bush-era tax cuts to expire, New Year's Day will usher in the nation's biggest tax increase since the end of World War II, tax watchdogs say, and that may be only the beginning. It's time to end the rule of the Obama regime.
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- Ya! Don't you know that the wealthy who beat up the highways and stress the bridges with big trucks and heavy equipment shouldn't have to pay for the damage done. After all they create jobs. You the middle class should be honored to pay for playgrounds, (small airports across the US) for the wealthy. Never mind that less than 1 in 1000 of you will every use them.
- Indiana is just like any State regarding the Unemployment Rate. The State of Indiana has seen the largest sharpest increase in Unemployment Rate since 1950, and one of the highest ever. The article mentions that Indiana is currently at 10.2%. Watch what happens to the unemployment rates to the State of Indiana when the Democrats, both on a State level and National take over: 2008 - 5.8% average 2009 - 9.3% average 2010 - 10.2% average Currently - 10.2% average Those statistics are figured from http://www.stats.indiana.edu/topic/laus.asp It is happening in every State - California had an unemployment rate at 4.4% in 2006, and last month the rate was 12.4% Anybody that wants to do research can look at the historical statistic charts on: The Unemployment Rate National Spending National Deficit National Debt National Deficit National Spending vs. GDP You will find a sharp increase in all since the Democrats came in power just since 2008. They are pretty sobering statistics! The increase in each is terribly. It represents the sharpest problem in U.S. history. The SPENDING NEEDS TO STOP!
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- As far as the national debt republican presidents are responsible for 8.2 of this nations 13 trillion dollar debt. I've done two bids in the past week and when walking through the plants both owners were showing me the work backed up. They are waiting till after the election before they hire. Putting republicans back in control would be like rewarding a rapist.
- Obama and his regime have failed. It's time to kick them out. It's just that simple.
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- More and more people are coming to the realization that there is no difference between the Democrat Liars Lodge and the Republican Thieves Club. If you think otherwise... simply ask yourself who has been running the government for the past 75 years. Republicans and Democrats, that's who. They are the thugs who sent our manufacturing base to Mexico and red china... got us bogged-down in two endless wars of occupation... allowed our infrastructure to fall into decay... robbed your grandkids to bail out Hank Paulsen's shyster bankster buds... and now these bums want you to swallow the crap again about there being some sort of difference between them.
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- More and more people are coming to the realization that there is no difference between the Democrat Liars Lodge and the Republican Thieves Club. ##################################Yeah...Well maybe with such a stupid electorate they deserve the representatives they get to choose from. For instance, remember that poll yesterday here on CBS? The majority say they want a smaller, less obtrusive and more fiscally restrained government. Then in the same poll the same majority says the government should provide SS, Medicare, unemployment and access to affordable healthcare for most Americans. Are you seeing the disconnect yet?
- With many Republican candidates attacking the minimum wage -- yesterday Rand Paul across the river in Kentucky attacks the status of employees in the free market capitalist system claiming the power he will receieve as a Senator allows him to legislate wage decisions (REDUCTIONS) for employees (federal today) that he believes are not worthy to be participants in free market capitalism. This is but the first step in the Tea Party Republicans plans for union busting and the return of the robber barons and company stores to further impoverish the workers in this country already been so successfully barred from the benefits of their increased production over the last decade.
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- Lets see if I have this right. You are defending our VASTLY overpaid (when you compare the same job in government vs the same job in private sector) Federal Employees who are earning in many cases 50% more than people doing the same job in the REAL world. Listen look at what Chris Christie did in NJ. Was elected governor as a die-hard COnservative. Told the unions that they were done sticking it to the taxpayer. Public sector employees there were putting in over a 30 yr career about 130k towards medical,dental vision and retirement packages. The REAL costs to NJ taxpayers PER state EMPLOYEE.... 3.8 MILLION for all of it. That is just not sustainable. PERIOD. The STATE highway labor guys here in Chicago JUST went on strike. It appears that 38.50 per hour was not enough money. Listen the unions have been bleeding the taxpayer for decades and there is no more money to over pay people anymore. If variablespanner loves the free market so much lets pay union/Federal people what the private sector pays for the same job and skill level. Of course the unions will never agree to that...............
- Sure, voting for the Republicans that created the mess will create jobs. B.S. More of the same mess from the party of no. The policies of corporate America are responsible for the economy being in the trash. Wall St. could care less as long as they line their pockets. Driven by greed they will go about business like nothing's wrong until government demands changes in their policies. Banks are hoarding money, big businesses aren't hiring and it won't change without some incentives.
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- Warning Liberal Lies ABOVE First the Liberals forced banks to loan money to people who would not qualify for a used car loan. Whats the matter you that much of an Leftist that you want to blame others when Liberals destroyed trillions in wealth all in the name that it was not "Fair" for some people to have a house and others could not. And I bet you do not want to remember the Community re-investment Act that was put on Steriods by Clinton. watch this video as Conservatives tried since 2004 to regulate the house of cards liberals were building at fanny mae and freddie mac. http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=_MGT_cSi7Rs Liberals disgust me. Second who is the Senator who took the most money from Wall ST. Obamboozler thats who. Businesses and people ARE hoarding money. Why? They are afraid of the next wave of high tax,high deficit, slow growth European Socialist idea to fall out of the brain of our Vacationer in Chief. Look at all the lies the Left has told to America to ram through its Socialist Agenda. Over 63% favor repeal of the ENTIRE ObamaCare mess. And the REAL pain has not even started yet. Thats never happened before in American history where a bill was passed and then over 60% want to repeal it 6 months later. As far as business hiring lets go over Capitalism one step at a time for you little Leftists. Someone owns a business and they take THEIR money out of THEIR pocket to hire someone. WHY???? They want the business to grow and make even MORE money. The owners will not do that when they have a Regime in Washington that is so ANTI business. Lots of new taxes coming in the next year and with Obamboozler buying our own debt. (Monetizing the debt is when the Treasury prints money gives it to the Fed and the Fed buys our own Debt like T bills etc.) This is causing our currency to devalue. All Obamboozler is doing is writing a check from one account to the other account and pretending that he has money. These Liberals are DANGEROUS and CLUESLESS they have never run anything. Name one who has worked in the private sector. THROW THE LIBERALS OUT IN 25 days!!!






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